- It would cause a 44% increase in Polish territory excluded from onshore wind development in comparison to 500m. With each single metre of the area reduced for available wind energy development, costs of imported fuels, such as fossil gas, increase, thus negatively influencing Polish energy security as well as energy prices for consumers.
- Because of project development times, no more than 4 gigawatts of new wind capacity will be built by 2030 if the agreed 500m distance is changed. The existing project pipeline was prepared for 500m, allowing for the rapid commissioning of new wind farms within 2-3 years from now. This is an opportunity to build over 10 GW of new onshore wind farms by 2030 (reaching 18-19 GW), i.e. more than doubling the current Polish installed capacity.
- An increase in the setback distance sabotages the current project pipeline, requiring new wind farms to be designed from scratch and resulting in 6-7 year delivery times. This limits the expected 2030 onshore wind capacity to 11-12 GW. Modelling studies from the European Commission and other institutions show that aligning with GHG 55% targets requires 17-27 GW of onshore wind in Poland by 2030, which is only possible if the current 500m-compatible project pipeline is allowed to be commissioned.
